In the high-stakes world of global diplomacy and macroeconomics, traditional intelligence and polling have often struggled to keep pace with the rapid-fire shifts of the 2020s. However, as of February 8, 2026, a new class of "truth engines" has emerged as the definitive guide for investors navigating a fractured world. Prediction markets, once seen as [...]
As of February 8, 2026, the artificial intelligence sector is moving at a pace that traditional tech journalism can barely track. On Manifold Markets, a leading prediction platform known for its real-time crowdsourced intelligence, a feverish surge of betting activity has centered on the "Agentic Spring." The most watched contract on the site currently gives [...]
As of February 8, 2026, Bitcoin is locked in a fierce battle around the $70,000 mark, a level that has become the definitive "line in the sand" for traders on decentralized prediction platforms. On Polymarket, the world’s leading prediction market, the probability of Bitcoin touching $70,000 this month has surged to a commanding 71%, up [...]
As the prediction market industry enters its most volatile and high-stakes year to date, the internal rivalry between the sector’s two largest titans has spilled over into the markets themselves. On Manifold Markets, a high-liquidity "meta-market" titled "Top 1 prediction market by volume in 2026?" has become the primary scoreboard for what insiders are calling [...]
The high-stakes world of prediction markets is currently facing its most existential threat since the landmark 2024 election cycle. As of February 8, 2026, Kalshi—the first federally regulated prediction market—is locked in what legal scholars are calling a "guerrilla war" with state gaming regulators in Massachusetts, Nevada, and Connecticut. At the heart of the conflict [...]
The prediction market landscape shifted significantly this week as the world’s leading forecasting platform, Polymarket, officially commenced its transition to native USDC for on-chain settlement. In a strategic partnership with Circle Internet Group (NYSE: CRCL), the move marks the definitive end of the "bridged asset" era for the platform, replacing the older, more vulnerable USDC.e [...]
As of February 8, 2026, the intersection of decentralized finance and urban politics has reached a fever pitch in New York City. Prediction market giant Polymarket has announced a "free grocery store" pop-up in downtown Manhattan, a move that traders are betting will either be a masterstroke of PR or a regulatory lighting rod. Currently, [...]
The landscape of political forecasting has shifted beneath the feet of Washington insiders and retail traders alike. As of February 2026, the "Grand Relaunch" of PredictIt has officially transformed the platform from an embattled academic experiment into a fully regulated powerhouse known as the Aristotle Exchange. By shedding its restrictive "no-action" status and adopting a [...]
The intersection of professional sports and prediction markets reached a fever pitch this week as Milwaukee Bucks superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo officially joined Kalshi as a major shareholder. The announcement, made on February 6, 2026, through his family office and investment arm, Ante Inc., has sent shockwaves through both the financial and athletic worlds. With the [...]
As the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots prepare to take the field for Super Bowl LX at Levi’s Stadium, the real action is happening on digital ledger boards and order books. In a historic first for the industry, the 2026 Super Bowl has become the most heavily traded sporting event in the history of [...]
